As of February 18, 2013, the Dublin based betting site, Intrade, has Chuck Hagel as a 95% favorite to be confirmed as US Secretary of Defense. I support Hagel and would hope his chances are that good, but I would put them at closer to 75%. Let's look at the parties and issues in this

Yes, I know he's out there at fundraisers and rallies, clinging to Big Bird for dear life. I guess he has to do something. Polls show a tightening race. My gut tells me it's in danger of falling apart. David Axelrod, Obama's longtime aid and campaign guru, has said that a Presidential campaign is an